Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.002262 0.002392 0.002530 0.002688 0.002865 0.003058 0.003288
2025-02-23 0.002111 0.002298 0.002506 0.002761 0.003067 0.003430 0.003903
2025-03-02 0.001953 0.002166 0.002413 0.002729 0.003130 0.003636 0.004351
2025-03-09 0.001818 0.002044 0.002314 0.002669 0.003139 0.003765 0.004713
2025-03-16 0.001760 0.002005 0.002307 0.002719 0.003288 0.004093 0.005424
2025-03-23 0.001706 0.001967 0.002295 0.002756 0.003420 0.004413 0.006206
2025-03-30 0.001636 0.001901 0.002241 0.002727 0.003451 0.004581 0.006776
2025-04-06 0.001558 0.001821 0.002160 0.002654 0.003405 0.004617 0.007103
2025-04-13 0.001503 0.001766 0.002111 0.002621 0.003415 0.004744 0.007659
2025-04-20 0.001417 0.001667 0.001996 0.002485 0.003249 0.004540 0.007420
2025-04-27 0.001383 0.001637 0.001973 0.002482 0.003296 0.004725 0.008156
2025-05-04 0.001373 0.001637 0.001993 0.002543 0.003454 0.005143 0.009708
2025-05-11 0.001343 0.001611 0.001976 0.002551 0.003529 0.005431 0.011174
2025-05-18 0.001332 0.001609 0.001995 0.002616 0.003716 0.006010 0.014322
2025-05-25 0.001294 0.001570 0.001957 0.002588 0.003727 0.006195 0.016203
2025-06-01 0.001252 0.001524 0.001906 0.002533 0.003682 0.006239 0.017508
2025-06-08 0.001240 0.001518 0.001914 0.002578 0.003837 0.006832 0.023714
2025-06-15 0.001225 0.001508 0.001916 0.002612 0.003973 0.007431 0.033753
2025-06-22 0.001197 0.001477 0.001884 0.002586 0.003981 0.007662 0.042298
2025-06-29 0.001161 0.001434 0.001832 0.002520 0.003896 0.007579 0.045441
2025-07-06 0.001135 0.001405 0.001801 0.002490 0.003887 0.007744 0.057558
2025-07-13 0.001088 0.001345 0.001719 0.002365 0.003661 0.007141 0.043757
2025-07-20 0.001072 0.001329 0.001705 0.002363 0.003705 0.007466 0.062480